By Will Soutter
Topics Covered
Introduction: Moore's Law
Limits to CMOS Scaling
Carbon Nanotubes and
Graphene as Transistor Materials
Molecular Electronics
Photonics
Ferromagnetic Devices
Current Status of Research
References
Introduction: Moore's Law
Moore's Law states that the density of transistors on a chip will
increase exponentially - doubling in performance every two years. The
computing industry has managed to adhere to
this law since it was first proposed by Gordon Moore in 1965. However,
this prediction only considers silicon-based CMOS (complementary
metal-oxide semiconductor) technology.
This technology has limits which
will must eventually break the exponential trend. This article explores
some of the ways in which the lifetime of CMOS microprocessors can be
extended, and some of the technologies which are being suggested as
replacements.
Limits to CMOS Scaling
There are three main limits to the continued down-scaling of CMOS
feature size:
- Capabilities of the fabrication method
- Decreasing switching performance
- Increasing leakage (spontaneous switching of states, leading to
errors and data corruption)
There have been multiple points in the history of computing where
CMOS
technology has been predicted to hit a limit.
Engineers in the microchip industry have an excellent track record
for getting around seemingly unbreakable performance limits. Because of
this, CMOS technology and Moore's Law will probably continue for much
longer than many commentators currently claim.
However, as quantum effects begin to have a much stronger effect on
the behaviour of the electronic components in microprocessors, silicon
will become unworkable, and new materials and designs must be employed
to continue to meet the demand for increasing performance in
microelectronics.
Figure 1. Physicist Michio
Kaku outlines the limitations of silicon-based computing, and explains
his pick for the most likely successors to the technology.
Carbon Nanotubes
and Graphene as Transistor Materials
A large part of the buzz surrounding nanostructured carbon materials
like carbon nanotubes (CNTs) and graphene in the last few years has
been centred on their potential for use as transistors.
These materials have unique electronic properties, because of the
quantum effects of their dimensional restrictions. They have been shown
to possess very useful qualities for use in nanoelectronics.
.jpg)
|
| Figure 2. Graphene
could be the basis of the next generation of transistors. Image credit:
LBL.gov |
| In February 2010, an article in Science was published reporting on
joint work by IBM and DARPA
which created a graphene processor with a 240nm gate length capable of
a clock speed of 100GHz, around four times faster than any previous
graphene-based transistors. Silicon-based processors with a similar
scale of architecture only capable of around a 40GHz clock speed. |
However, the precise physical structure of the materials can lead to
a large range of properties, particularly in CNTs. There are
difficulties associated with manufacturing CNTs with a particular
structure on a large scale, as most existing techniques tend to produce
a mixture of forms.
Fabrication and separation processes are getting better all the
time, however. Graphene is likely to start appearing in computing
applications relatively soon.
Molecular Electronics
Molecular electronics aims to make components like transistors and
logic gates from single molecules. Several potential candidates for
molecular devices like these have been proposed.
However, a fully integrated chip using solely molecular components
has not yet been achieved, and there are some serious manufacturing
issues to overcome before the technology can be considered for
commercial applications.
The benefits of molecular electronics would be extraordinary,
however.
The power consumption and data density which would become achievable
once the initial design and manufacturing challenges have been overcome
are incredible. Molecular electronics is potentially capable of
providing a clear pathway to sub-nanometre chip architectures.
Photonics
Photonics uses photons, or particles of light, to conduct
calculations, instead of electrons. This is an emerging field, which
depends on highly advanced materials and fabrication techniques which
are entirely different to the methods used with CMOS.
The expense of manufacturing exotic optical materials on a large
scale will probably preclude optical computing from reaching mainstream
markets any time soon. However, the huge computing speeds and low power
consumption will probably drive adoption of photonic system for more
specialized, large-installation supercomputing applications.
Ferromagnetic Devices
Ferromagnetic materials contain many distinct nanoscale regions,
called domains, which can behave independently to some extent - the
magnetic field of neighbouring domains can point in different
directions.
There has been a considerable amount of research into using
ferromagnetic materials as the basis for data storage and
microprocessors - using the direction of magnetization of individual
domains to represent bits of information.
.jpg)
|
| Figure 3. Imaging
of ferroelectric material shows their response to external current.
Image credit: BNL.gov
|
|
In July 2012, a research team at the U.S. Department of
Energy's Brookhaven National Laboratory published
a technique for studying exotic ferroelectric materials, revealing
details on a sub-atomic level.
Ferroelectric materials work in a similar way to
ferromagnetics, but with local electric field domains.
the published technique will help to develop applications for
these materials in nanoelectronics.
|
The intrinsic properties of ferromagnetic materials makes data
stored this way highly stable - the domains are non-volatile and
resistant to radiation. Patterning of ferromagnetic wires can also
produce effective logic gates.
Current Status of Research
Most of these technologies are still in their infancy. However, the
huge pressure on the industry to continue to hold to Moore's Law means
that the process of bringing a novel, esoteric technique to commercial
fruition is often much more rapid than in other fields. This relentless
drive is already resulting in the most advanced results on
graphene-based electronics, molecular transistors, and ferromagnetic
devices.
In the meantime, microprocessor manufacturers are stretching the
capabilities of CMOS chips as far as they can. Intel's Ivy Bridge
series, released in early 2012, features a 22nm architecture, achieved
using a 3D "fin" design, and they
plan to introduce 14nm processors in the 2013-2014 timeframe.
The long term picture will definitely feature the demise of CMOS
technology, however. How much longer manufacturers can continue to
uphold Moore's Law remains to be seen, but there is no doubt that
microprocessors, and nanoprocessors, will continue to advance at a
furious rate, no matter which technological pathway is chosen.
References